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DataCentersExposed
County data-center profile

Frederick County, Virginia

DataCentersExposed tracks 1 AI data center in Frederick County, Virginia — 0 operating and 0 in the pipeline, drawing 7 MW of reported power demand. Its transparent data-center risk score is 0/100.

Sources: Methodology, Coverage scorecard

Facilities
1
Operating
0
Pipeline
0

Reporting by · Updated May 29, 2026

Risk breakdown
4Low
  • Project exposure · 7
  • Power demand · 0
  • Water draw · n/a
  • Land footprint · n/a
Overview

What's happening in Frederick County

Facilities here with disclosed capacity draw 7 MW from the local grid. Data-center load on this scale is the single biggest driver of recent capacity-market price increases — costs that flow through to every ratepayer in the service territory, not just the operators.

Below: every tracked facility in the county, the active state legislation that names it or its county, and local news. Commissioner vote records arrive in a later release; the placeholders show where that accountability data will land.

Modeled scenario · not announced

2035 Buildout Outlook

via PNNL IM3 (CC BY 4.0)

Under the model's moderate-growth scenario (5%/yr annual load growth), PNNL's IM3 model sites about 3 standardized 36 MW campuses in Frederick County by 2035 — roughly 108 MW of new electricity demand and ~104 M gal/yr of cooling water. Under the higher-growth scenario (15%/yr) that climbs to 12 campuses (432 MW). For scale, we currently track 1 real data center in Frederick County (7 MW of reported power).

Modeled new campuses by demand-growth scenario
  • Low growth1
    36 MW · ~35 M gal/yr cooling water
  • Moderate growth3
    108 MW · ~104 M gal/yr cooling water
  • High growth8
    288 MW · ~279 M gal/yr cooling water
  • Higher growth12
    432 MW · ~418 M gal/yr cooling water

The model assigns ~100% of these campuses' cooling to evaporative water cooling in Frederick County (the rest to mechanical/air cooling), a split it derives from local water stress and wet-bulb temperature.

These are modeled candidate sites, not announced or permitted facilities. PNNL's IM3 model places identical 36 MW unit-campuses at feasible locations under each scenario — it shows where demand could concentrate, never a specific parcel. Figures use a market-gravity weight of 50. How the model works.

1 facilities

Every tracked facility

FacilityOperatorStatusMW
Middletown Data Center
Middletown
Mapped (unverified)6.7
Accountability

County commissioners

How the Frederick County board votes on each data-center matter — the rezonings, the abatements, the water permits — is built from public-meeting minutes and roll-call records. Know of a vote we should be tracking? Tell us.

Methodology & sources

The risk score weights project exposure (40%), power demand (30%), water draw (15%), and land footprint (15%). Water and land are not yet measured for our facilities, so those arcs render as "not yet measured" and the weights are renormalized over the factors we can source today — when the data lands, the score updates.

Every row carries a confidence level (high / medium / low) and a source URL. Spot an error? Tell us.