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DataCentersExposed
County data-center profile

Caroline County, Virginia

DataCentersExposed tracks 13 AI data centers in Caroline County, Virginia — 0 operating and 13 in the pipeline, drawing 1.1 GW of reported power demand, led by Amazon.com, Inc..

Sources: Methodology, Coverage scorecard

Facilities
13
Operating
0
Pipeline
13

Reporting by · Updated May 29, 2026

Overview

What's happening in Caroline County

Facilities here with disclosed capacity draw 1.1 GW from the local grid. Data-center load on this scale is the single biggest driver of recent capacity-market price increases — costs that flow through to every ratepayer in the service territory, not just the operators.

Amazon.com, Inc. has the largest presence in Caroline County. We resolve project codenames and shell LLCs back to the corporate parent wherever the public record allows, so the table below names who is actually behind each site.

Below: every tracked facility in the county, the active state legislation that names it or its county, and local news. Commissioner vote records arrive in a later release; the placeholders show where that accountability data will land.

Modeled scenario · not announced

2035 Buildout Outlook

via PNNL IM3 (CC BY 4.0)

Under the model's moderate-growth scenario (5%/yr annual load growth), PNNL's IM3 model sites about 2 standardized 36 MW campuses in Caroline County by 2035 — roughly 72 MW of new electricity demand and ~70 M gal/yr of cooling water. Under the higher-growth scenario (15%/yr) that climbs to 7 campuses (252 MW). For scale, we currently track 13 real data centers in Caroline County (1.1 GW of reported power).

Modeled new campuses by demand-growth scenario
  • High growth2
    72 MW · ~70 M gal/yr cooling water
  • Higher growth7
    252 MW · ~244 M gal/yr cooling water

The model assigns ~100% of these campuses' cooling to evaporative water cooling in Caroline County (the rest to mechanical/air cooling), a split it derives from local water stress and wet-bulb temperature.

These are modeled candidate sites, not announced or permitted facilities. PNNL's IM3 model places identical 36 MW unit-campuses at feasible locations under each scenario — it shows where demand could concentrate, never a specific parcel. Figures use a market-gravity weight of 50. How the model works.

13 facilities

Every tracked facility

FacilityOperatorStatusMW
Amazon Data Service: Orrock Rd
Woodford
Amazon.com, Inc.Proposed770
ADP Ladysmith Data Hub
Ruther Glen
Proposed
Airlee Industrial and Data Center Site
Ruther Glen
Proposed
Bull Church Data CenterProposed
Carmel Church Data Hub
Ruther Glen
W & F PARTNERSProposed
Carmel Technology & Enterprise Center
Ruther Glen
Proposed
Caroline Center for Innovation
Ruther Glen
Proposed
Caroline Center for Innovation - North
Ruther Glen
Proposed
Ladysmith Technology ParkProposed
Thornberry Data Center Campus
Ruther Glen
Proposed
VALCO Data Center Park
Ruther Glen
Proposed
VALCO Data Center Park
Ruther Glen
VALCO CAROLINE COUNTYProposed
CleanArc Data Center (VA1)
Ruther Glen
CleanArcUnder construction300
Accountability

County commissioners

How the Caroline County board votes on each data-center matter — the rezonings, the abatements, the water permits — is built from public-meeting minutes and roll-call records. Know of a vote we should be tracking? Tell us.

Methodology & sources

The risk score weights project exposure (40%), power demand (30%), water draw (15%), and land footprint (15%). Water and land are not yet measured for our facilities, so those arcs render as "not yet measured" and the weights are renormalized over the factors we can source today — when the data lands, the score updates.

Every row carries a confidence level (high / medium / low) and a source URL. Spot an error? Tell us.